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IFE Alchemy at Work

Submitted July 5, 2006 - 10:14 pm by Al Giordano
As demonstrated above, the first 64 percent of the official results was within a very slim fluctuation of 0.3 percent difference between the two leading candidates.

But now look at the pattern over the past 4 hours... In which, with 84.84 % of the precincts counted, López Obrador's lead has lessened from 2.42% to 1.79 percent.

My guess?

The IFE and the Fox administration will not proclaim Obrador the winner.

In the final 15 percent of the precincts to be counted, they will miraculously find the votes to put their boy Calderón in the lead. Think I'm cynical? You bet.

In the coming days we'll put this activity on a bar graph. It's precious, in a sick kind of way. The M.O. exactly matches that of Sunday night, in which for the first 70 percent of the tallies Obrador is on a fixed trajectory and then, wham!, he suddenly sinks. And it is happening here again. The only difference is that Obrador was coming up from behind in the preliminary results, while he maintained a solid lead in the precinct total counts. But in the final stretch, those whacky IFE computers - all rights reserved, Hildebrando S.A. de C.V. - are at it again!

I'll make some more observations below...

4:44 p.m.

65.68% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.91 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.6 %
Roberto Madrazo: 21.94%
Patricia Mercado: 2.73 %
Roberto Campa: 0.93 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.31%

5:01 p.m.

69.01% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.81 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.64 %
Roberto Madrazo: 21.98%
Patricia Mercado: 2.73 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.17%

5:31 p.m.

71.46% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.87 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.56 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.02%
Patricia Mercado: 2.72 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.31%

5:31 p.m.

-72.86% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.86 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.55 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.03 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.72 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.31%

5:31 p.m.

(I don't know why three increases all occurred at the same minute, at 5:31... I have read that the IFE computer has "crashed" twice to day.)

-73.58% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.85 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.57 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.02 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.72 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.18

6:12 p.m.

75.08% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.78 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.62 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.05 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.72 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.16%

6:25 p.m.

76.46% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.76 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.62 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.07 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.06%

6:42 p.m.

77.93% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.73 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.63 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.09 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.1%

6:57 p.m.

79.21 counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.71 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.65 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.1 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.06%

7:09 p.m.

80.12% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.69 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.67 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.11 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 2.02

7:22 p.m.

81.04% counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.65 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.68 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.12 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 1.97%

7:43 p.m.

82.46 % counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.6 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.71 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.15 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 1.91

8:11 p.m.

84.13 % counted

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.52 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.74 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.19 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 1.78%

8:24 p.m.

84.84 % counted

Candidatos Presidenciales:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.51 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.74 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.2 %
Patricia Mercado: 2.71 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %

Margin: Obrador up by 1.79%

Commentary:

Manuel Camacho Solis of the Obrador campaign told reporters today that the IFE held back Calderon precincts until the very last, and that he expected the results to shift.

A PAN spokesman accused the PRD of slowing down the counting in Calderon country.

The PRD - although in the lead for the entire day - still insists it wants a full hand-count of all the votes.

The PAN - although trailing all day - still opposes a full hand-count.

Here is another indication of suspicious activity: the tallies for Madrazo, Mercado and Campa have remained the same ALL DAY. Even when Obrador's numbers began to shift, theirs did not. Spooky, eh?

Meanwhile, if after watching a consistent result for the first 70 percent or so of the tallying, the public finds it suspicious that the tallies are suddenly shifting, watch for that pain and rage to explode very, very shortly.

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