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It has for awhile

Submitted August 4, 2008 - 6:45 pm by Karl (not verified)

It's between Pawlenty and Romney for sure but I'm actually now leaning towards Romney. McCain has known Pawlenty for 20 years and Pawlenty has been his biggest cheerleader through the thick and thin. He's had since March to make his pick. If he wanted to pick Pawlenty don't you think he would have done it already?

Also rumor has it that McCain will not pick until after Obama. Obama is going to be in Hawaii somewhere between the 8th and the 16th (Olympics start on 8th, he speaks at Rick Waren's church on the 16th). Obama also has a SF fundraiser on the 17th. The earliest Obama will pick is the 18th.

That leaves McCain with the day after the Democratic convention. It seems like to suck up the media attention right after the convention he needs to pick someone who is nationally known. Romney fits that, Pawlenty does not.

Right now I'd give Romney a 50 percent change, Pawlenty a 40 percent chance and the rest of the field 10 percent.

For the Dem veepstakes I predict on the 19th of August Obama will pick Sebelius (30 percent), Kaine (25 percent), Biden (20 percent, Bayh (15 percent) and the rest  10 percent.

My bets on Obama/Sebelius vs McCain/Romney.

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