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Ohio
Submitted September 6, 2008 - 1:24 pm by Al GiordanoAnonymous - As I said before, one factor is that such a large swathe of southeast Ohio is culturally Appalachian - it might as well be Kentucky or West Virginia - and the Ohio primary was particularly polarizing with those voters, with Senator Clinton screeching "shame on you, Barack Obama!" and such.
And, frankly, I don't trust Governor Ted Strickland, even though he's a Democrat, to take the prophylactic anti-fraud measures that, for example, Tim Kaine has applied in Virginia. His support seems lukewarm and borderline suspicious.
Obviously, to win Ohio would be a victorious game-changer for Obama, but I'd warn against making it the obsessive focus it was in 2004. It is a potential path to victory, but it is not the path of least resistance that I see in Virginia and the three western swing states.