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What Did You Expect? A Cake Walk?

Submitted September 6, 2008 - 2:13 pm by Al Giordano

Nick - If you find any of this "worrisome" it's because you would have been grossly over-optimistic to begin with. What you call "the fundamentals" have been mitigated by the unexpected (from the same media talkers that told you about the so-called "fundamentals") nomination victory of the Republican that is best known for running against Bush in 2000.

And, as we can see on this map, Senator Clinton's negative campaign tactics did inflict some general election harm on Obama, particularly in Appalachia. Most folks that hang around here were noticing that back when it happened.

In your case, it's probably a positive thing that you look at this map and worry. And yes, brace yourself to wait for Mountain Time poll closings (or even Pacific time, in the case of Nevada and Oregon) on election night before you may know the result.

Elections, by definition, are not sure things. Frankly, if Clinton or Edwards had been the nominee, this map would look a hell of a lot worse for the Democrats, with millions staying home and despondent.

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