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Western North Carolina
Submitted October 10, 2008 - 11:22 pm by Elliot (not verified)Al, Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling (based out of Raleigh, NC) has made many of the same points you have, in fact from everything I've heard, Obama's new strength in North Carolina (and Virgina) have come because of greatly improved polling numbers in the western parts of both states (Appalachia). I know not to trust ARG or their polls which shoot up, but I wonder if that WV poll showing Obama ahead by 8 doesn't have at least some truth to it (Palin's visit to West Virginia today suggests that McCain's internals are telling a bleak story for them).
I've never been one for gut feelings myself (mostly because my gut sucks at predicting things) but I've always felt that North Carolina would be a state that would surprise everyone on Election day.