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"And the excitement in this

Submitted October 11, 2008 - 2:44 am by NC turning blue (not verified)

"And the excitement in this state - from West to East - is the highest and the hungriest among the five states we visited in the past two weeks."

Al, I'ved posted here a few times here about NC turning blue and am really thrilled that you now see for yourself what a few of us have been seeing for months, there's a tidal wave of support for Obama in NC. McCain/GOPers really underestimated the huge Obama forces here built over the primaries. Obama paid so much attention to the state before and after primaries, NC folks started to believe it COULD be a swing state and like a self-fulfilling prophecy, once even long-shot belief set in, folks started working even harder and that excitement spread like wildfire.

 

OH, PA, FL, they are all used to the national spotlight and huge GOTV efforts. NC hasn't rec'd so much DEM attention in decades, Obama's surprise visit to DEM party last week was super smart, local pols are coming out even stronger for him and "vouching" for him which is a big help with undecideds.

 

Al, you note and alot of the focus has been on the AA turnout. I think you may be missing another equally important factor, the youth vote in NC. One big factor in Obama NC primary win was record African American turnout for sure, but it was the combo of AA and youth vote that surged him to 14point crushing of Clinton.

Obama needs BOTH AA and youth to turn out again in record numbers to win the state. Internals show he needs 20% AA but also 19% youth. That last number would be 2% increase of primaries percentage. Watch that number in exit polls, if large enough youth come out, the state is his. He's crushing McCain in the youth vote.

 

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