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Hugh McColl .... South Carolina is next

Submitted October 11, 2008 - 10:50 am by Helen Pope

 

Al, your reporting on North Carolina strikes this South Carolinian in Georgia as spot on. Thank you, also, for including the Hugh McColl endoresement. McColl is from the Pee Dee region of South Carolina and is known and respected all over the state (SC) as local boy done good. (much more so than that other South Carolinian gone north, John Edwards). I am going to send his endorsement to everyone in my family. Don't trust me, the known lefty, listen to Mr. McColl. 
Anonymous from Charlotte said something that I want to explain. He said "Even when you drive through the "upscale" neighborhoods (like Dilworth) you see nothing but yard after yard with an Obama sign." That might sound unsurprising to people who think upscale = liberal elite. Unlike in other parts of the country, in the South, in my lifteime the vast majority of the rich white people have been republicans. Even those who wetnt to Yale law school, etc.  No question. In my grandparents' generation, yes, these folks would have been dems. But since then, the "elites", the "upscale" have been reliably republican. Young professionals who were liberal elites other places before they moved to Charlotte cannot explain the support everywhere.   
Al's reporting from NC, along with what I've heard from SC, suggests that SC might not be too far off fro Obama either. Back int he primaries, I found this site when I realized the mainstream media wasn't covering SC fully. I stand by what I said then:
Variation in Demographics across SC Irrelevant, We won Everywhere!!
By HHP - Jan 27th, 2008 at 5:18 pm EST
Also listed in: 4 groups

As the Clintons and some media observers have been busy qualifying Barack Obama's landslide victory in South Carolina, I've been thinking about the demographics of SC.  Yes, a third of the state's population, give or take, is African American. BUT that percentage is not distributed evenly across the state. Almost all of the voters in some counties, especially in the SE corner of the state, are African American, whereas other counties have much lower African American populations. 

If the South Carolina vote was merely the result of race politics, Obama would have won where black people are concentrated and not in the whiter counties.  HE WON 44 of 46 counties. Obama prevailed in ALL except two counties (John Edwards took Oconee, where he grew up, and Hillary Clinton took Horry, where Myrtle Beach is located).  Obama did not prevail only in places like Orangeburg and Kingstree and Jasper County.

He took Greenville and Spartanburg. He took Lexington County, one of the whitest and most republican counties in the state.  He took all but one of the counties in the upstate, which are demographially more similar to North Carolina that the lowcountry of South Carolina.  

   Instead of looking at SC as a whole, and dismissing the results, because other states don't share it's demographic profile, I think we should look at the counties.  I think we would find that some of the counties, especially in the upstate, are reasonably similar to to the February 5 states.

 

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