Language

Dueling "Exit Polls" in El Salvador

Submitted March 21, 2004 - 9:40 pm by Al Giordano
Now, THIS is interesting...

According to the daily El Mundo of San Salvador, exit polls tonight are all over the map:

* Channel 12 TV: "the FMLN is ahead in the voter preferences, with 49 percent... to 41 percent for ARENA... this would lead to a second round."

* Salvadoran Tele-Corporation (TCS News): This one has ARENA at 58 percent and FMLN at 35 percent.

BOTH can't be honest. That would mean a margin of error of 8.5 percent. One station or the other clearly made it up. So let's go to a third exit poll, the most independent, to see which is within the margin of error (normally 4 points) of that one...

 * Finally, the only non-commercial exit poll, by Francisco Gavidia University, which surveyed 261,000 voters, has it: FMLN 49.6 percent to ARENA 43.1 percent. (This one is additionally reported by Venezuela National Radio.)

Reply

Our Policy on Comment Submissions: Co-publishers of Narco News (which includes The Narcosphere and The Field) may post comments without moderation. All co-publishers comment under their real name, have contributed resources or volunteer labor to this project, have filled out this application and agreed to some simple guidelines about commenting.

Narco News has recently opened its comments section for submissions to moderated comments (that’s this box, here) by everybody else. More than 95 percent of all submitted comments are typically approved, because they are on-topic, coherent, don’t spread false claims or rumors, don’t gratuitously insult other commenters, and don’t engage in commerce, spam or otherwise hijack the thread. Narco News reserves the right to reject any comment for any reason, so, especially if you choose to comment anonymously, the burden is on you to make your comment interesting and relevant. That said, as you can see, hundreds of comments are approved each week here. Good luck in your comment submission!

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.

More information about formatting options

User login