U.S. Plans for Military Conflict With Venezuela?

William Arkin, who blogs on defense issues for the Washington Post, has been ruffling feathers for the last two days with his Tuesday entry:

Internal documents associated with the 2005 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) and preparation of the fiscal year 2008-2013 future defense plan identify five specific "threat" countries in three groups requiring "full-spectrum" planning.

The first group includes North Korea and Iran, both justified for their involvement in the development of weapons of mass destruction. China is listed as a "growing peer competitor" and threat of tomorrow. Syria and Venezuela are listed as "rogue nations."

Venezuela is identified in Defense Department briefings and documents as a "pop up" threat, an example of an unanticipated and asymmetric challenge. In the military mind, Venezuela's proximity to the United States also elevates it to a "homeland security" threat, instantly increasing the priority for planning.

There is another bureaucratic reality of Venezuela as the pop up threat and recipient of contingency planner attention: U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM), which is responsible for Latin America, needs something to do…

The claims have received enough attention to warrant a denial from the Pentagon. This story is worth keeping one’s eye on…

Comments

More Arkin, and a critic

Arkin also wrote:

To call Venezuela a "rogue" nation, a retro-label usually reserved for the worst lawless regimes, is both lazy and small minded.

Yesterday he elaborated:

I have been asked to identify the document that specifically identified Venezuela: It is an internal military briefing titled "The FY08-13 POM" and dated October 2005. POM stands for Program Objective Memorandum. According to the Defense Department, the POM is the primary document used by the services to submit programming proposals, analyze missions and justify allocation of resources.

Is it possible that the characterization of Venezuela as a "pop up" threat and as a "rogue" state will turn into nothing? That this is just the work of over-zealous or opportunistic or lazy staff officers looking to justify their existence, their budgets, and their proposals? It is possible. That is why I wrote about the thoughtless inclusion of Venezuela in war planning in the first place: to make the point that such floundering about for new threats, and such opportunism, demands the intervention of cooler heads.

As good as this is for someone employed by the Washington Post, a reader signing his comment as Gray had this to say to Arkin's original article:

This column by Arkin is better than the onesided spin he tells us about Iraq's WMDs, but still he starts it with a very misleading statement:

"Relations between the U.S. and Venezuela have deteriorated steadily since President Hugo Chavez, an anti-imperial populist, was elected in December 1998."

This is creating an image that it was Chavez election that was the reason for the deteriorating relationship. This isn't true. A simple Google search for 'Clinton Chavez 1999' produces several evidences to the contrary, like this quote from Bill Clinton in early 1999: "I was tremendously impressed by his [Chavez] evident commitment to the use of democratic and constitutional methods to achieve the institutional reforms that the people of Venezuela clearly want."

The truth is, the relations between Venezuela and the US became problematic after January 20, 2001. The reason behind this is the openly hostile position of the Bush administration towards Chavez socialistic ('bolivarian') tendencies. Bush's policy-maker for Latin America, Otto Reich, is a right-wing Cuban-American, who isn't exactly known for a liberal attitude towards leftist policy, democratically elected or not.

This hostility reached the state of crisis in April 2002 when a group of Venzuelan officers tried to overturn the elected administration with military force. The US immediately acknoledged the rebels as the legitimate government of Venezuela. The degree of the US involvement in this coup is still a controversy, but it is a fact that there had been talks with the rebels and that US Navy ships were having a 'maneuver' at the venezuelan coast. The coup eventually became a failure because of public opposition, and so it comes as no big surprise that Chavez is very critical of the US intentions in Latin America since this experience.

Is it sloppy investigation or intentional spin that made Arkin omit this important fact from his column? You decide.

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About Dan Feder

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I was a member of the Narco News team in various capacities, from webmaster to Editor-in-Chief, from 2002-2008. Since 2006 I have also been a member of the International Peace Observatory, which performs human rights accompaniment for Colombian campesino organizations in conflict zones. I am now living in Boston and working as a website developer for DigitalAid, Inc.