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Reporter's Notebook: Al Giordano

Uruguay Election Night Reports: Open Thread

Polls close in Uruguay in 45 minutes, at 7:30 p.m. in the capital city of Montevideo (that's 5:30 p.m. in New York and 2:30 p.m. in California) and all of Latin America is awaiting the results.

We'll be reporting the hard numbers here on The Narcosphere as the evening rolls on, and analyzing them for you and, if you are a Narco News co-publisher, with your help.

First, some background information from recent Narco News reports:

Uruguay Votes Today: "An Historic Triumph for Latin America" and South American Unity
Eduardo Curuchet on the Significance of Today’s Election and the Movement for Regional Integration

By Manuela Aldabe
Special to The Narco News Bulletin
October 31, 2004

And...

Big Week for Elections in América
By Dan Feder
Via The Narcosphere
October 29, 2004

And...

Uruguay Elections: "We Will Be Able to Begin to Make Changes in Drug Policy"
Congresswoman Margarita Percovich on the Center-Left Coalition that Is Expected to Triumph on Sunday

By Manuela Aldabe
Special to The Narco News Bulletin
October 27, 2004

Here come the results...

Comments

Record voter turnout in Uruguay

The results aren't in yet, but it looks like the voter turnout will be at record levels in Uruguay. Obersva reports that turnout is between 87 and 92 percent throughout the country.

This recalls the elections that brought Lula and the Workers' Party to power in Brazil, and Nestor Kirchner and his left-nationalist Peronist faction to power in Argentina, each of which saw record voter turnout in those countries.

...but a Setback for Drug Policy in São Paulo

As we reported here earlier this month, the mayoralty of pro-drug policy reform mayor Marta Suplicy in São Paulo, Brazil was also at stake in elections today on October 31st. (See Harm Reduction Advances at Stake in São Paulo Election Run-Off, The Narcosphere, October 4, 2004, for background.)

According to exit poll results by the Globo TV network from today's vote, Suplicy, of the Worker's Party of President Lula da Silva was beat by former national health minister and presidential candidate Jose Serra, by a vote of 55-percent to 45-percent.

The Workers party apparently, according to exit polls, also lost the City of Curitiba and the City of Porto Alegre is too close to call right now as votes are being counted.

All three cities have been pioneers, under the outgoing administrations, in the field of Harm Reduction policies to reduce the harms caused to drug users under prohibition.

Now, drug policy reformers in Brazil, according to Narco News co-publisher Semiramis Vedovatto of Curitiba, will be going to the new administrations in these cities and making the case for continuing the progressive policies and programs to educate and protect, instead of persecute, drug users... but the coin is in the air as to what will happen.

It's official in Porto Alegre now

Pablo Francischelli, 2004 Narco News Authentic Journalism scholar, IM's that the defeat in Porto Alegre of the Worker's Party - which has governed that southernmost city in Brazil for 16 years - is now official.

Globo TV personality José Fogaça is the winner.

No word yet on what it means for the city's distribution of tens of thousands of clean needles a year to addicts or other Harm Reduction programs for which Porto Alegre is an international leader.

And for folks planning on going to the World Social Forum in January in Porto Alegre - a city that has hosted them repeatedly - he reports that this next one could be the last one there for a while.

Perdidas y Ganos

Es lamentable que el PT pierda las elecciones aqui en Porto Alegre, asi como en Curitiba y en San Pablo. En esas tres ciudades ganaron los candidactos de los grandes medios. Como hacer con que los partidos populares no sean atragantados por esos medios? Dejo la pregunta en el aire...

Por otro lado, nuestros vecinos de uruguay nos ponen muy contentos con su nuevo amanecer, como dice Alex Contreras.

Son perdidas y ganos. Por una America Latina libre!
Pablo Francischelli

First exit polls out: 52.5% for leftist candidate

The Euipos Mori polling company has released the results of its exit poll. They have Vazquez's Broad Front party winning with 52.5 percent of the vote, with a 2.6 percent margin of error. The big question is whether the final results will give FA more than 50 percent, thus avoiding a run-off.

The National party is shown recieving 29.1 percent, and the Colorado party, the ruling party for the better part of 150 years, is running a distant third. Official results are not expected until after midnight.

A ballot question on the privitization of water also looks like it will go against privitization.

Two more Uruguay pollsters confirm Vazquez victory

The Factum polling firm now predicts 50.9 percent for Vazquez. Cifra gives him 51 percent. That’s all three of Uruguay’s major pollsters agreeing that there will be no second round: the Broad Front has won the first national electoral victory ever for the Uruguayan left. Uruguayan radio reports thousands heading into the streets of Montevideo to celebrate. The official results won’t be in for hours, so stay tuned. But the tone in the Uruguayan media suggests that it’s over.

National Party condedes defeat

Jorge Larrañaga, the National Party candidate, has gone to visit Tabaré Vázquez, conceding defeat and congratulating the man it's now safe to call Uruguay's president elect.

Parliamentary victory as well for Uruguayan left

Not only has the Broad Front party won the presidency, but it appears to have won a majority in both houses of Parliament. This will make things a lot easier for Vazquez when he starts to govern in March 2005. It is also good news for the more progressive or otherwise marginalized  factions within the FA (which was formed by a union of more than 12 political parties in 1971, and has many internal divisions), as opposing the right-wing parties as a united front will not be such a priority. According to montevideo.com.uy:

In the Senate, the left is assured of at least sixteen seats, plus Nin Novoa, who will be President of the Senate, making seventeen in total. Eleven go to the National Party, and three are sure to go to the Colorado Party. In the lower house, the FA will receive at least fifty-three representatives, the Nationalists thirty-five, the Colorados ten, and the Independent Party one, with a chance at two. There are not expected to be any major changes to these results as the ballots continue to be counted.

That’s right, current president Jorge Batlle’s Colorado party is down to only three seats in the Senate.

It's official

With almost 90 percent of the votes counted, the FA has 50.65 percent of the vote. If it follows the trend it has been all night, that figure will go up a little more by the time the count reaches 100 percent. Right now the results are being posted live as they come in on Observa.

And in Venezuela today: Chávez vs. Condoleeza

Venezuela also has major state and local elections being decided today.

And guess who tried an 11th hour attempt to influence them?

None other than White House National Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice!

Rice told reporters earlier this week that Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez is "a real problem... he will continue finding ways to subvert democracy in his own country and finding ways to make his neighbors unhappy."

Heh. We'll find out how happy or unhappy one of those neighbors, Uruguay, is tonight... as well as Venezuelan voters throughout that nation's provinces.

Chávez, this afternoon, fired back at Rice and her boss, George W. Bush.

Aporrea reports that Chávez, today, said:

"The government of George Bush is a much bigger, infinitely, real problem for the world. The big problem is that a government invades other peoples, that it drops bombs on children and women indiscriminately...

"I want to call upon the conscience of the people of the United States, that the U.S. people elect a president who respects the laws and doesn't attack other brother and sister peoples...

"The North American empire is the most perverse of all the one's we've ever seen... We don't have much hope that there will be a noticeable change in the international policies of that government if it elects Mr. Bush or Mr. Kerry..."

Chavez added that he hopes that "what occured four years ago doesn't happen again" in the "very anachronistic" United States election system that "elects the choice of a minority."

He added:

"God willing, they will look at the example of Venezuela, with a clean, transparent, and rapid elections system..."

As for the pre-election attack by Condoleeze Rice, Chavez said:

"Mrs. 'Condolencia' (Spanish for "condolences") made a fool of herself, beyond her statement being irrelevant to the people of Latin America. It is the imperialist herself who is speaking, who believes she is owner of the world. Poor thing, as Christ would say. Poor thing, forgive her, for she knows not what she does. I don't know if they will be forgiven, really."

Venezuela election results coming in, along with more from Uruguay, Chile and Brazil, shortly tonight, to The Narcosphere...

Forero Predicts Chavista Sweep in Venez Vote

In a few minutes, Venezuela's National Electoral council will announce preliminary results for 22 state gubernatorial elections and various cities and municipalities that voted today.

A newly sensitized Juan Forero, of the New York Times, before a single hard result is in, predicts a sweep by supporters of President Hugo Chavez.

Surreal but true!

Venezuela National Radio Now with News in English

Here is the new web page, for English readers, of Venezuela National Radio.

Looks like they are translating the news pretty fast tonight!

Still awaiting official results announcements.

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