Return to Denver

By Al Giordano

It's been almost six months - my, how time flies, even when so much history has been jam-packed into it - since then-candidate Obama's nomination and historic speech in Denver.

Today he returns to the Mile High City, this time with the presidential pen in hand, to sign the $787 billion dollar Stimulus Bill - read our breakdown of how the money will be spent, here - into law.

As some chatter that the Stimulus "should have been larger," let's have some perspective. It's already the single largest government expenditure from a sole piece of legislation ever. And it squeaked through the US Senate with the necessary 60 votes without even one vote to spare (US Senator Sherrod Brown had to come back to DC from his mother's wake in Ohio to cast the deciding vote, while US Senator Ted Kennedy, combatting brain cancer, was not well enough to make it). Had a single one of the three Republicans that favored the bill bolted, nobody would be signing anything today. And US Senator Susan Collins of Maine stated emphatically that had the bill gone above $800 billion she w ould have turned around and voted against it.

In other words, given reality, this Stimulus is right up against the ceiling of what it could have been with the votes available at hand.

The right wing knows it, even if some sectors of the Eeyore left apparently wouldn't be happy about winning the world's largest lottery ticket, either. Check out the screeching planned for tonight on Fox News:

All day long Fox has paraded guests in and out and if you had to down a shot for every time they worried aloud about the supposed "socialism" they claim this bill creates, you'd be getting your stomach pumped in the emergency room already.

Truth is, the vast majority of the public could care less if the complainers call it "socialism." The Cold War has been over for a generation. The doom-and-gloom heard on the right, including at Fox, is a mere re-run of their gamble that Obama's mild association with radical intellectual Bill Ayers would somehow turn the electorate against him. Most people view it this way: If saving my job or creating one for my kid is "socialism," then what's wrong with that?

You'll hear Obama this afternoon, from Denver, use the word "jobs" a lot. The White House is already promoting the Stimulus package online, with details about how many jobs it will "save or create" in each state, and even in every Congressional District. (And if you haven't checked recovery.gov lately, the White House web site to track each dollar spent in the Stimulus has come out of the gate sprinting: it will offer an unprecedented look behind the curtain of government spending to the public.)

According to the White House, the Stimulus will create or save 59,000 jobs in Colorado (an average of 8,428 per Congressional District), where the President signs the bill, and 70,000 jobs in Arizona (an average of 8,750 per CD), where he'll be tonight and tomorrow to announce his plans to confront the home foreclosure crisis. (Indeed, keeping the housing matter out of the Stimulus Bill made room for bigger expenditures on other urgent needs, while also likely assuring that more will be able to be spent on saving the American family home through separate legislation.)

I took a look at the number of jobs estimated to be saved or created by the Stimulus in the ten biggest and ten smallest states, and then computed the average number of jobs per Congressional District, and found something fascinating.

In the biggest states:

California: 396,000 jobs (an average of 7,471 per Congressional District)

Texas: 269,000 (8,406 per CD)

New York:  215,000 (7,413 per CD)

Florida: 206,000 (8,240)

Illinois: 148,000 (7,789)

Pennsylvania: 143,000 (7,526)

Ohio: 133,000 (7,944)

Michigan: 109,000 (7,266)

Georgia: 106,000 (8,153)

North Carolina: 105,000 (8,076)

And here are the job numbers from the ten smallest states (the first eight with just one CD, Rhode Island and Hawaii with two apiece):

Wyoming: 8,000

Washington DC: 12,000

Vermont: 8,000

North Dakota: 8,000

Alaska: 8,000

South Dakota: 10,000

Delaware: 11,000

Montana: 11,000

Rhode Island: 12,000 (6,000 average for each CD)

Hawaii: 15,000 (7,500)

There's your New York Congressional Delegation - Schumer & Gillibrand, LLC - at work: The Empire State got less of the pie per capita than any of the seven largest or eight smallest states. (We've noted before that the New York delegation is dominated by bump-on-a-log backbenchers, and Governor David Paterson sure didn't help his state when he appointed one of them to the US Senate instead of you-know-who. Of course, Paterson and Gillibrand's tanking poll numbers reveal that New Yorkers are hip to this fact. ‘Nuff said.)

The President will sign the Stimulus at 12:40 p.m. Mountain Time (2:40 ET) and will surely be live-cast by the Cable News channels and their Internet sites. The Vice President will speak there, too (a sure draw for those that look for any words to stray off script!)

I doubt today's event will match last August's speech in Denver for sheer emotion, but in terms of the lives and jobs of 59,000 Coloradans and everyone in their communities that depend on their neighbors' economic health and continued spending, this is in fact a far more momentous occasion.

Update: New York Daily News reporter Ken Bazinet picks up on this report:

The Field blog, a favorite of many of the information superhighway's citizen journalists and the mainstream media alike, reports today that the feds are not doling out as much money on a per capita basis to New York State as they are to other large states.

Update II: Chris D'Amico (TheWurx at DKos) has written a reported diary on the goings on over at Nova M radio in the wake of the exit of Randi Rhodes. Very interesting stuff he's found out.

Comments

Great post, Al.

Great post, Al.

And check out recovery.gov

http://www.recovery.gov/?q=content/estimated-job-effect

The map is pretty cool - this is really amazing to me - these are hard numbers that they want their progress measured against. Wow, a real plan, with real goals and a timeline. A project managers dream. When I worked in a non-profit I watched the big donors get wise after a few years, and absolutely insist on deliverables that had to be concretely specified (in terms of extent and timeline) and measurable.

It's pretty unbelievable after 8 years of flailing around that our government is committing to actual deliverables (instead of strategery)

KD

First link to wrong place?

Al, did u mean for the link in the second sentence to go the Quinnipiac piece on Patterson and Gillibrand's numbers?

California numbers

I'm just struck by the number of CA jobs to be created in contrast with the 10-20 thousand pink slips the governor is expected to start sending out ...

To be fair

Some of the imbalance in jobs created per CD is reflective of a deeper ongoing trend.  The so-called Red states tend, as a group, to receive more Federal largesse than they contribute in tax and other revenues, while the Blue ones pay in more than they receive in turn, regardless of Reagan's success in painting a minority female urban face on poverty in America.

It's been studied extensively and some of the correlations relate to the age of the population, with more seniors per capita in many of the Red states.  But in general, it appears that the Blue states tend to carry our benighted Red brothers and sisters forward while they periodically disengage their mouths from the Federal teat to tantrum and scream about big government...

Link fixed

Thanks, Joel. Now corrected.

Another promise on the way

I am impressed with Recovery.gov. The President said it would be transparent and is taking steps to assure those who want to be informed can be.

It will be interesting to see what State and local projects are funded.

Learning about governance

--For the last decade or longer, we have been in the thrall of a political entity (Republican party and the right wing), who have been all about the appearance of action.  In all fairness, appearance of functionality and competence was rife throughout our corporate and social sector.  We forgot how to do things and the effort and organization that it takes to actually accomplish something.  Sometimes (and you can still see this on the left), talking about pie in the sky and what should be done became the substitute for the hard nuts and bolts of actually DOING something (Al, you have addressed this numerous times).

But now we are DOING something, and as the doing something train leaves the station, those who are not on board will recede faster and faster from relevance...as doing something - action - rather than lip flapping -- becomes the only reality worth addressing...

Doing -- not thinking not wishing not waiting for someone else to put their shoulders into it. 

Who can hitch up their pants and get after it?  These next few months are going to be the centrifuge of relevance, with all the light stuff separating out and being spun off the top...Still a lot of hard work ahead, but people will no longer be fooled about what matters and who is doing the lifting....

New York Daily News link...

not working any more. This one does, though...

Thanks, Joel

They must have changed the link. Now fixed above, too.

Jed Gets It

In case anyone missed it, Jed has a terrific post-stimulus comment on Obama's political strategy in giving the Republicans a series of generous opportunities to put away childish things and think of the greater good, for once. Needless to say, Jed, good as he is, is late. Had he written what he writes today about a week ago, a "movement" would have been launched to remove him from being a front-pager at dailykos. It's better late than never, I guess, though his post could have been cribbed from much of the commentary over here over the last 3 weeks. 

new or saved jobs

Why is White House not distinguishing between a new and a saved job.  How is a "saved job" defined?

 

If I remain employed in this downturn, is that considered a saved job?  Just asking

@charlottemom

My understanding is that if a state or local government would have had to lay people off because of budget cuts, and is able to keep that person on because of the money provided in the stimulus, then that counts as a "saved job".

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